Saturday, January 30, 2010

The West Coast Capper's free play for Saturday:
Hawaii Warriors
3: 1.5 D: 1.5 B: 2.5 S/R:2.5 TO/A:1.5 FT:1.5PPG:72.2
@
Nevada
3:2 D: 1.5 B: 1.5 S/R: 3.5 A/TO: 2.5 FT:2.5 PPG:82



This nationally televised (ESPNU) Western Athletic Conference match up features two teams in completely different situations. Hawaii is coming off a 23 pt loss @ SJSU and featured only one player in double digits, a little known guard named Leroy Lutu. This team is done. They are currently 0 and 4 on the road and have been blown out in those contests. The sitting of Dwain Williams a couple weeks back has really changed the character of this team and you would have to question its motivation in a cold temperature Nevada. It is well known that this team, that returned upper division starters, has underachieved this year. We will see how long into the off season the coach lasts. The one scoring threat, Roderick Flemings, was held to single digits in the last game. This team is shooting horrible free throws, lack luster 3 pointers, and demonstrates bad defense. Despite this, the team is averaging 72ppg. However, on the road the team is averaging ten points less. Nevada, also, scores a lot of points averaging 82 ppg. This team is 4 and 3 in conference and has not performed as well of late. This is the only game they will be playing in a 13 day stretch (6 days behind and 7 days ahead). Upcoming, they have a match against Utah St, the elite of the conference. There shouldn't be much concern about them looking ahead because this game is 7 days out. Coach Carter has stressed during this stretch of time off a return to basics. This opportunity to practice will have Nevada ready for a downward spiraling Hawaii. Nevada strength comes from F Luke Babbit. In the last 9 games he has had a double double in 7 of them and missed the eighth by one rebound. The fact of the matter is that this game will get ugly, quick. This is obvious by the -15 that Las Vegas has put on this game. However, Nevada should easily cover this number pushing the win margin into the twenties. The large chalk has kept the West Coast Capper at only 1 unit on this game, taking Nevada -15.

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